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COPEC predicts – “Fuel prices to drop”

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The Chamber of Petroleum Consumers Ghana (COPEC) has predicted fuel prices to go down in the next pricing windows.

According to COPEC Ghana, petrol is likely to be sold at GH¢11.67 per litre, down from the  GH¢12.00 being sold at the moment.

“The second pricing window of the month of May 2023 is set to commence in a few hours from now, indications are that pump prices are likely to decline for fuel products across the country,” a statement issued by COPEC said.

It added “The following basic information forms the basis of projections for the coming window, that; Crude price has seen a decline from the mean price of $85.29/barrel to $76.64/barrel (-10.14%) whiles the forex or Dollar exchange rate has slightly decreased from a previous average of GHS12.0060 to GHS11.9963 (0.08%) per $1, the following shall be the predicted retail figures for Petroleum products; Petrol – GH¢11.67/L, Diesel GH¢11.51/L.

“Fuel prices in the first May pricing window were fairly stable.”

Below is the full statement…

CHAMBER OF PETROLEUM CONSUMERS
14 May 2023

REVIEW OF FUEL PRICES FOR THE SECOND WINDOW OF MAY 2023.

The second pricing window of the month of May, 2023 is set to to commence in a few hours from now, indications are that pump prices are likely to decline for fuel products across the country.

the following basic information forms the basis of projections for the coming window, that; Crude price has seen a decline from the mean price of $85.29/barrel to $76.64/barrel (-10.14%) whiles the forex or Dollar exchance rate has slightly decreased from a previous average of GHS12.0060 to GHS11.9963 (0.08%) per $1, the following shall be the predicted retail figures for Petroleum products.

Petrol .. GHS11.67/L
Diesel .. GHS11.51/L
Current Mean Price for Petrol and Diesel*..GHS11.59/L

LPG.. GHS10.63/kg

Thus for a 14.5 kg LPG cylinder, is expected to be selling at GHS154.10 for the window.

All Predictions are within (±5%) error margin.

Find below are the details of the projections for the window.

Petrol
With the international price declining from $868.14/MT to $795.31/MT (-8.39%), the retail price works up to GHS11.67/L

Thus, Petrol is expected to decline by 4.94%* of the current Mean Market price of GHS12.28/L, to close selling between GHS11.09/L and GHS12.26/L within ±5% of this prediction.

Diesel
With the International benchmark prices declining from $747.93/MT to $673.25/MT (-9.98%), the expected mean retail price for the next window shall be GHS11.51/L

Thus, Diesel is expected to also decline by some 6.53%* of the current Mean Market price of GHS12.31/L to be selling between GHS10.93/L and GHS12.08/L within ±5% of projection.

Mean Price of Petrol and Diesel
The Mean price of Petrol and Diesel for the coming window per the numbers shall be 11.59/L ± 5%

LPG
With the international benchmark prices declining from $522.77/MT to $452.75/MT (-13.39%) the projected retail price of LPG is expected to see a reduction by about 1.02% from the current average of 11.64/kg to GHS10.63/kg.

Thus, within ±5% error, LPG is expected to be sold between GHS10.10/kg and GHS11.16/kg

Government is however encouraged to do all it can to reduce taxes on LPG or to subsidise the price of LPG to promote or encourage its nationwide accessibility and usage which will eventually help save the environment.

Signed.

Duncan Amoah.
Executive Secretary.

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Ghana Reports First Oil Output Increase in Five Years With Production Rising By 10.7%

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Ghana has recorded a 10.7% increase in crude oil production in the first half of 2024, marking a reversal in a five-year trend of declining output, according to a report by Ghana’s Public Interest and Accountability Committee (PIAC).

The growth was largely driven by the Jubilee South East (JSE) project, managed by Tullow Oil, which began production in late 2023. This addition to Ghana’s Jubilee oil field helped boost production to 24.86 million barrels by June 2024, compared to a 13.2% decline over the same period in 2023.

PIAC’s half-year report also highlighted a significant rise in petroleum revenue, which surged by 56% year-on-year to $840.8 million by mid-2024. Ghana, a country that began oil production in 2010, depends on petroleum revenue for around 7% of government income. The report further noted a 7.5% increase in gas output, reaching 139.86 million standard cubic feet by June.

Despite the positive trend, Isaac Dwamena, coordinator of PIAC, cautioned that Ghana’s petroleum sector faces both technical and financial challenges. Ghanaian law requires oil companies to allocate at least 12% of project shares to the state, a mandate Dwamena noted can deter investment due to the high cost. “The state can take 15%, 20% carried interest based on negotiations, and that has been a disincentive,” he explained.

To further drive production, Ghana is planning to sell more exploration rights, aiming to harness its fossil fuel resources while also generating funds to support its energy transition. Major oil companies operating in the country include Eni, Tullow Oil, Kosmos Energy, and PetroSA.

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President urges universities to strengthen ties with industries

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President Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo has called on universities in Ghana to strengthen ties with government, industries, and the communities they serve to ensure that researches are aligned with the needs of society.

That would contribute directly to the realisation of national development goals, he said.

The President made the call at Nyankpala during a ceremony to inaugurate a three-storey multi-purpose building for the University of Development Studies (UDS).

The building fulfills the President’s promise to the UDS during its 25 Anniversary celebrations.

It is named the “Silver Jubilee Building” in remembrance of the President.

The facility boasts of offices, conference halls, lecture theaters, and houses some faculties of the university.

President Akufo-Addo said universities were “breeding grounds” for ideas, researches and innovations that drove the nation’s progress and should remain actively engaged in the development process.

He said government believed in educating the population as the bedrock of a thriving democracy, a vibrant economy and a just society.

The President, thus, outlined some policies implemented aimed at improving access to education at all levels, which included the “no guarantor policy”.

He said the policy had improved access to tertiary education as it had eliminated financial barriers that historically prevented brilliant students from pursuing higher education.

The “no guarantor policy” for student loans increased the numbers of students seeking tertiary education from 443,978 in the 2016-2017 academic year to 711,695 in the 2020-2023 academic year, an increase of 60.3 per cent.

President Akufo-Addo said his government had extended considerable energy and resources to the education sector, recognising it as the most powerful tool to transforming the nation.

He said: “The considerable budgetary allocations within the period totaling some GH¢12.8 billion, amply demonstrates the shared determination of the Akufo-Addo government to ensure that education becomes a catalyst around which the transformation of our nation revolves.”

Source: GNA

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We’ve learnt our lessons; we won’t borrow to finance 2024/2025 crop season

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The Ghana Cocoa Board (COCOBOD) has announced that it will transition to self-financing for the 2024/2025 cocoa crop season, starting in September 2024.

For the past 32 years, COCOBOD has relied on offshore borrowing to finance cocoa purchases through its cocoa syndication programme. However, the organization is shifting its strategy to reduce dependency on external funds.

Speaking to the media on Tuesday, August 20, COCOBOD’s CEO, Joseph Boahen Aidoo, explained that this new approach is expected to save an estimated $150 million.

“Is it good that always COCOBOD should be heard going to borrow? Are we comfortable with that tag? Today, you have heard that COCOBOD is not going to borrow. It is quite a good time for any human being to learn his or her lessons.

“In 32 years, we have learned our lessons and we think that it is high time we wean ourselves from the offshore international financial markets and then finance the crop ourselves here and that is exactly what we are going to do. And I think it comes with a lot of projectory benefits.

“We are looking for $1.5 billion this crop season and looking at the interest rates last year, which were over 8 percent, plus the cost, it means that we can save more than $150 million by the decision not to go offshore.

He also denied assertions that COCOBOD was short-changing farmers with its pricing of cocoa.

“It is not true that COCOBOD is not giving the farmers a fair price. If you follow the narrative, you will notice that from 2017 on, COCOBOD has even been more than fair.

“The government had been more than fair to farmers because this was a time when prices had collapsed but the government and COCOBOD did not reduce the farmers’ price.”

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