A Senior Political Science lecturer at the University of Ghana, Dr Kwame Asah-Asante, has stated that neither the movement by the former Trade Minister, Alan Kyerematen or any other party or individual can win the December 2024 elections.
According to him, Ghana’s two-party system will take a long time to pave way for any third force as has been the case in most two-party systems across the world.
Speaking on JoyNews’ PM Express on Wednesday November 22, 2023, following the dismissal of some four New Patriotic Party (NPP) members for supporting Alan Kyerematen’s independent candidacy, Dr Kwame Asah-Asante noted that, “ a third force is a difficulty.
“In other jurisdictions, when you have two strong parties, that is a two-party system, you realize that other parties have been dwarfed. It will take a very long time for you to get a third force “he argued.
Asked whether December 2024 was that time for Ghana, he replied, “No, it is not.”
“A third force is actually a function of proportional representation. When you have such a system, it produces results such as that, and you can get evidence in Germany, Israel, Belgium and the rest of them.”
He, however, noted that in the case of Ghana, until the electoral system changes, the two main parties will continue to remain supreme.
“Other parties will continue to be eclipsed and they’ll be dwarfed.
So movements like that of Alan, the best they can do is to get some significant votes, add to other existing parties to be able to push elections into a second round. That is the best that they can do. We did some work, and if you look at the statistics, from 1992 up to 2020, all the other political parties put together in terms of their average performance, did not go beyond 4%” he noted.
“So if you are talking about an individual who’s going to come in and cross the threshold of 50% and beyond, I am afraid that is not what Mr Alan Kyerematen is working for. He himself knows that it won’t work.”
What he [Alan Kyerematen] knows is that he can be a kingmaker by pushing the election to a second round where all those who are launching attacks against him that he’s not a candidate for this election and all that will go to him on their knees, that’s all that he’s fighting for. But for winning, he knows that it will not work” Dr Asah-Asante stated emphatically.
But even on the ability of Mr Kyerematen to push the election into a second round, the Political Science lecturer said it was too early to make that prediction.
The Assembly member for Denu in the Ketu South Municipality, Israel Bossman, says residents may soon be compelled to abandon the use of electricity in the area if the Electricity Company of Ghana (ECG) fails to address challenges associated with its billing system.
Residents recently staged a protest against what they consider to be exorbitant monthly tariffs, claiming that the ECG’s billing system in the Denu District is overcharging them beyond their actual consumption.
They are demanding a review of the billing mechanisms to ensure fair and accurate charges.
In an interview with Citi News, Israel Bossman emphasised the need for immediate action, labelling the current situation as a form of extortion that must be halted immediately.
“With immediate effect, ECG must cease disconnecting customers or consumers of the power and fix the poor nature of the billing system and also audit some meters in the enclave.
“I understand that people now take loans to pay light bills and this is not pleasant. And so trust me, a time is coming where nobody would want to use light anymore because we can’t be paying that amount of money. It is not possible. I mean something is wrong somewhere.”
Meanwhile, the Public Relations Officer for the ECG in the Volta Region, Eunice Tweneboah-Kodua says the grievances of the consumers have been addressed.
“All the things that they asked us to do, management was able to do it for them. The regional police command made us aware that the people are saying that they are still bent on going on a demonstration against us. And we asked about the issues and the issues were the same things that they raised for us to work on.
“So basically that is the issue. And [on Wednesday] during the demonstration, they presented a petition and the petition has the same issues that we have worked on. Nevertheless, we are not bent on sleeping on it. Whatever thing that they want, we are still looking into it.
US President Joe Biden worked to calm senior Democrats and staff on his campaign on Wednesday, as reports suggested he was weighing his future after his disastrous debate with Donald Trump last week.
Mr Biden held a closed-door lunch with Vice-President Kamala Harris at the White House as speculation mounted over whether she would replace him as the party’s candidate in November’s election.
The pair then joined a call with the broader Democratic campaign where Mr Biden made clear he would remain in the race and Ms Harris reiterated her support. “I’m the nominee of the Democratic Party. No one’s pushing me out. I’m not leaving,” he told the call, a source told BBC News.
That same phrase was repeated in a fundraising email sent out a few hours later by the Biden-Harris campaign. “Let me say this as clearly and simply as I can: I’m running,” Mr Biden said in the email, adding that he was “in this race until the end”.
Questions have been swirling around whether the 81-year-old will continue with his campaign following the debate with Trump, which was marked by verbal blanks, a weak voice and some answers which were difficult to follow. It sparked concern in Democratic circles around his fitness for office and his ability to win the election.
Pressure on Mr Biden to drop out has only grown in the days since as more polls indicate his Republican rival’s lead has widened. A New York Times poll conducted after the debate, which was published on Wednesday, suggested Trump was now holding his biggest lead yet at six points.
And a separate poll published by the BBC’s US partner CBS News suggested Trump has a three-point lead over Biden in the crucial battleground states. That poll also indicated the former president was leading nationally.
1:36Name-calling and insults – key moments from Biden and Trump’s debate
The damaging polling has been compounded by some Democratic donors and lawmakers publicly calling on the president to stand aside. Ramesh Kapur, an Indian-American industrialist based in Massachusetts, has organised fundraisers for Democrats since 1988.
“I think it’s time for him to pass the torch,” Mr Kapur told the BBC. “I know he has the drive, but you can’t fight Mother Nature.”
And two Democrats in Congress also called for a change at the top of the party’s ticket. The latest, Representative Raul Grijalva of Arizona, told the New York Times it was time for Democrats to “look elsewhere”.
Despite this, the White House and the Biden campaign have vehemently denied reports he is actively weighing his future and say he is committed to defeating Trump for a second time on 5 November.
The New York Times and CNN reported on Wednesday that Mr Biden had told an unnamed ally he was evaluating whether to stay in the race.
Both reports said the president had told the ally he was aware his re-election bid was in danger and his forthcoming appearances – including an ABC News interview and a Friday rally in Wisconsin – were hugely important to his campaign.
A spokesperson rejected the reports as “absolutely false”, shortly before White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre faced a barrage of questions about Mr Biden’s commitment to the race.
She said the reports that he may drop out were untrue: “We asked the president [and] the president responded directly… and said ‘no, it is absolutely false’. That’s coming direct from him.”
On a call with White House staff on Wednesday, chief of staff Jeff Zients urged them to keep their “heads down”, according to CBS News.
“Get things done. Execution. Execution. Execution” he said.
“There is so much to be proud of, and there is so much more we can do together under this President’s leadership.”
Mr Biden met 20 Democratic governors from around the country, including California’s Gavin Newsom and Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer, later on Wednesday. Both have been tipped as potential replacements if Mr Biden were to stand aside.
“The president has always had our backs, we’re going to have his back as well,” Maryland Governor Wes Moore told reporters after the meeting.
New York Governor Kathy Hochul said the two dozen governors who had just met the president pledged their support and that Mr Biden had vowed he was “in it to win it”.
But Ms Harris is still considered the most likely replacement. The 59-year-old has been hampered by poor approval ratings, but her support has increased among Democrats since the Biden-Trump debate.
0:12Biden points to White House record after shaky debate
The vice-president gave an immediate interview on CNN after the debate, projecting calm as she expressed full support for the president.
“She’s changing nothing,” a source close to Ms Harris told BBC News, adding that she would continue to hit the road on behalf of the campaign.
“She has always been mindful to be a good partner to the president,” said Jamal Simmons, Ms Harris’ former communications director.
“The people who ultimately will make the decision about who the nominee should be mostly are people who are pledged to him. Her best role is to be a partner to him.”
Members of the Democratic National Committee are charged with voting to officially make President Biden the party’s nominee at the August convention, putting him on the ballot nationwide.
One member, who has spoken to other delegates and requested anonymity to speak frankly about sensitive discussions, told the BBC that the nomination should go to Vice-President Harris if Mr Biden opted not to run.
“If we open up the convention, it will cause pure chaos that will hurt us in November,” they said.
A report by the Washington Post, meanwhile, said Mr Biden and his team recognised that he must demonstrate his fitness for office in the coming days.
He appeared at a Medal of Honor ceremony on Wednesday, and has planned trips to Wisconsin and Philadelphia later in the week.
Xatse Derick Emmanuel, a research and policy analyst at the Institute for Energy Security (IES), has stated that Ghana’s power challenges cannot be attributed solely to the gas supply shortage announced by the West African Gas Pipeline Company Limited (WAPCO).
According to him, Ghana’s incessant power disruptions have been the result of a power deficit of about 600 MW since the beginning of 2024.
The research and policy analyst’s statement comes in the wake of a recent joint press release issued by the Ghana Grid Company (GRIDCO) and the Electricity Company of Ghana (ECG), where the power companies announced a three-week power outage due to ongoing maintenance works on the gas pipelines in Nigeria.
He said, “Credible data available, representing total system power generation at peak periods (10 pm), shows that Ghana has been experiencing power generation deficits throughout this year. This was evident even before WAPCO’s announcement, which is expected to further increase the generation deficits (more DUMSOR).”
“As of December 26, 2023, Ghana’s system peak load stood at 3,618 MW, representing a 4.3% increase from the 2022 recorded peak demand. In 2024, the system peak load is estimated to be 3,788 MW, reflecting a 4.7% increase from 2023,” according to the Energy Commission report 2024.
This means that Ghana’s peak demand is expected to be around 3,788 MW. Therefore, any power generation below 3,788 MW will result in DUMSOR.